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Principles
Ray Dalio wrote a book, Principles on how he translated his beliefs into a set of organisational rules.
- Very few industries work in the structured, measurable way that his wealth management world does.
- When everybody must adopt a set of principles, such as in a company, they should be up for debate at all times.
How I think about principles
Principles are useful for encoding wisdom, solving future problems by abstracting lessons from previous problems. Meta problem-solving.
Principles offer consistency & predictability, which are ever more useful in large organisations, where people impacted by your future decisions want to subscribe to some sense of what you will do.
Principles are also a strategic tool: This is who we are, what we do, and what we don’t.
They are personal & contextual. They depend entirely on your position & priorities.
Principles that work great for my set of circumstances may be adjectly terrible for you, and vice versa.
My Principles for Decision Making
Simplify & guard simplicity
- Complexity looks smart. Simplicity is smart.
- Prefer several small things, that do obvious & repurposable jobs.
- Simplicity requires clarity, raising the bar for understanding.
- Simplicity usually protects agility & reduces overhead.
- Prefer less to more: Can this problem be solved by subtraction?
Don’t passively accept conventional wisdom
- Most conventional wisdom is correct.
- If it’s right and you don’t know why, you didn’t learn anything.
- If it’s wrong, you verify or you pay.
- Where are the underlying data or first principles?
Agility & Speed are the most important attributes
- You will be wrong & you will make mistakes. It is high-effort to reduce error rates.
- If you’re twice as quick, you can afford twice as many wrong turns.
- Do nothing that reduces long-term speed & agility.
- Prefer the option that leaves the most options. Optionality is agility.
- FEEDBACK. LOOPS.
- Make it safe to change your mind. People double down on their mistakes out of identity & shame.
Attack uncertainty first
- Don’t start with what’s easy.
- Don’t start with what has the most dependency.
- Start with what is unknown. All risk is there.
- Unpicking uncertainty early is a creative endeavour.
Everything is a system, whether you like it or not
- There are always knock-on effects
- Think systematically, or play Whack-a-mole
High-precision fundamentals